Multifractal Dynamics of Stock Markets |
| Ł. Czarnecki and D. Grech
Institute of Theoretical Physics University of Wrocław, PL-50-204 Wrocław, Poland |
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| We present a comparative analysis of multifractal properties of financial time series built on stock indices from developing (WIG) and developed (S&P500) financial markets. It is shown how the multifractal image of the market is altered with the change of the length of time series and with the economic situation on the market. We emphasize that the proper adjustment of scaling range for multiscaling power laws is essential to obtain the multifractal image of time series. We analyze in this paper multifractal properties of real financial time series using Hölder f(α) representation and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis method. It is also investigated how multifractal properties of stocks change with variety of ``surgeries" done on the initial real financial time series. This way we reveal main phenomena on the market influencing its multifractal dynamics. In particular, we focus on examining how multifractal picture of real time series changes when one cuts off extreme events like crashes or rupture points, and how fluctuations around the main trend in time series influence the multifractal behavior of financial series in the long time horizon for both developed and developing markets. |
| DOI: 10.12693/APhysPolA.117.623 PACS numbers: 89.65.Gh, 89.75.Da, 89.20.-a |