Government Intervention Modeling in Microeconomic Company Market Evolution |
M. Chorowskia, R. Kutnerb
aCollege of Inter Faculty Individual Studies in Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Warsaw, Stefana Banacha 2C, PL-02093, Warsaw, Poland bFaculty of Physics, University of Warsaw, Pasteur Str. 5, PL-02093 Warsaw, Poland |
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Modern technology and innovations are becoming more crucial than ever for the survival of companies in the market. Therefore, it is significant both from theoretical and practical points of view to understand how governments can influence technology growth and innovation diffusion (TGID) processes. We propose a simple but essential extension of Ausloos-Clippe-Pękalski and related Cichy numerical models of the TGID in the market. Both models are inspired by the nonlinear non-equilibrium statistical physics. Our extension involves a parameter describing the probability of government intervention in the TGID process in the company market. We show, using Monte Carlo simulations, the effects interventionism can have on the companies' market, depending on the segment of firms that are supported. The high intervention probability can result, paradoxically, in the destabilization of the market development. It lowers the market's technology level in the long-time limit compared to markets with a lower intervention parameter. We found that the intervention in the technologically weak and strong segments of the company market does not substantially influence the market dynamics, compared to the intervention helping the middle-level companies. However, this is still a simple model which can be extended further and made more realistic by including other factors. Namely, the cost and risk of innovation or limited government resources and capabilities to support companies. |
DOI:10.12693/APhysPolA.138.74 topics: government interventionism, Monte Carlo simulation, technology growth, econophysics |